It continues to push toward the northern Leeward Islands, where tropical storm watches are now in effect as of the 8 p.m. update from the National Hurricane Center. Intensification is expected as Erin moves toward warmer ocean temperatures over the next several days.

While a curve back out to sea is widely expected and forecast in models, any impacts Erin could have on Florida and the U.S. remains uncertain.

Tropical Storm Erin is gaining strength in the Atlantic and is expected to become the first hurricane of the 2025 season by Friday, forecasters said. Here is the latest hurricane forecast, timeline, spaghetti models and potential Florida impact.